Wimbledon 2015 Gentlemen’s singles draw analysis

After the grass season kicked off with all the drama in Halle, Queens and Nottingham, we move onto the lawns of SW19, for the 129th edition of the Wimbledon Championships.

The 3rd slam of the year starts on Monday 29th and promises some great tennis within the two-week period up until finals weekend on 11th/12th July. Below, I’ve decided to analyse the Gentlemen’s singles draw in which Serbia’s Novak Djokovic currently holds.

 

Seeds:

1 – N. Djokovic

9 – M. Cilic 17 – J. Isner

25 – A. Seppi

2 – R. Federer

10 – R. Nadal

18 – G. Monfils

26 – N. Kyrgios

3 – A. Murray

11 – G. Dimitrov 19 – T. Robredo

27 – B. Tomic

4 – S. Wawrinka

12 – G. Simon 20 – R. Bautista-Agut 28 – P. Cuevas

5 – K. Nishikori

13 – J-W. Tsonga 21 – R. Gasquet

29 – G. Garcia-Lopez

6 – T. Berdych 14 – K. Anderson 22 – V.Troicki

30 – F. Fognini

7 – M. Raonic 15 – F. Lopez 23 – I. Karlovic

31 – J. Sock

8 – D. Ferrer 16 – D. Goffin 24 – L. Mayer

32 – D. Thiem

 

 

Likely Quarter-Final match-ups (If Draw goes to the seedings)

Djokovic (1) V  Nishikori (5)

Wawrinka (4) V  Raonic (7)

Ferrer (8) V Murray (3)

Berdych (6) V  Federer (2)

 

First Quarter

The first quarter sees top seed, and defending champion, Novak Djokovic headline it, with 5th seed Kei Nishikori the next highest threat. Djokovic has been given a challenging potential draw, with an intriguing encounter against Philipp Kohlschreiber first up. Nishikori faces Italian Simone Bolelli, and should progress to the second week comfortably. US Open Champion Marin Cilic is due to face the Japanese star in the fourth round, but he’s sure to be given a test if John Isner is his third round opponent.

How far will Lleyton Hewitt get in his last ever Wimbledon?
How far will Lleyton Hewitt get in his last ever Wimbledon?
Elsewhere, the two players playing their last Wimbledon before retirement, Jarkko Nieminen and Lleyton Hewitt, face-off on the opening day of matches, with the winner probably facing Djokovic in the next round. Young Australian’s Bernard Tomic and Thanasi Kokkinakis look set to win a few matches at this year’s event, but it’s unlikely they’ll progress into the second week.

 

Predicted Quarter-Final: Djokovic (1) V Cilic (9)

Potential surprise runs: Thanasi Kokkinakis, Alexander Zverev

3 1st round matches to watch:

Djokovic (1) – Kohlschreiber

Nieminen – Hewitt

Pouille – Anderson (14)

 

Second Quarter

The second quarter is arguably the weakest of the field, but still features 2-time Grand Slam champion Stan Wawrinka. ‘Stan the Man’ arrives in SW19 after clinching the French Open title, and will like his chances here of progressing to the latter rounds. He opens against Joao Sousa, but his first real test could be against Fernando Verdasco in the third round, the man who infamously took Andy Murray to 5 sets in a 2013 quarter-final. Big-serving Milos Raonic is Stan’s likely quarter-final opponent, and like Stan, will like his draw, despite tricky obstacles in the way. A possible third round encounter against Nick Kyrgios would be hugely exciting, but it’s unclear what physical state the Aussie is in. Fellow 2014 semi-finalist Grigor Dimitrov could be Raonic’s first opponent of the second week, but it’s been a poor year for the Bulgarian, which could allow Richard Gasquet to take advantage of.

'Stan the Man' will be pleased with his draw
‘Stan the Man’ will be pleased with his draw
Cypriot Marcos Baghdatis and David Goffin have a strong chance of making the second week, in an open second part of the Wawrinka 8th, that is if ‘Baggy’ is 100% fit, after retiring hurt in a semi-final in Nottingham. Tommy Haas is also making a return to Grand Slam tennis, but a long run looks unlikely, with Raonic a possible early opponent.

 

Predicted Quarter-Final: Wawrinka (4) V Raonic (7)

Potential surprise runs: Marcos Baghdatis, Kenny De Schepper

3 1st round matches to watch:

Young – Baghdatis

Monaco – F.Mayer

Lajovic – Haas

 

Third Quarter

This quarter is arguably the toughest, with 2013 winner Andy Murray & two-time Wimbledon champion Rafael Nadal finding themselves within it. Both players will be glad to have immediately avoided Djokovic, but are instead on course to face eachother in the quarters. To do that, Nadal will first have to negotiate past Thomaz Bellucci in the opening round, before possibly facing tricky ties against Dustin Brown and Viktor Troicki. Brit Murray opens up against Mikhail Kukushkin, with Ivo Karlovic lurking in the second week. Big-serving Karlovic may have to get past the popular Jo Wilfried-Tsonga, but doubts over his fitness could lead to an early upset due to the in-form Gilles Muller.

British #2 James Ward faces eighth seeded David Ferrer, a man who never has quite delivered on grass. With little match time on grass for the Spaniard due to an early exit in Nottingham, coupled with the British support, Ward could pull off the upset but I wouldn’t put my money on it. Ferrer is projected to face Rafa in the 4th round, but has regularly come unstuck when the pair have met previously. I struggle to see anything but a repeat.

 

Predicted Quarter-Final: Nadal (10) V Murray (3)

Potential surprise runs: Viktor Troicki, Gilles Muller, Alexandr Dolgopolov

3 1st round matches to watch:

Ferrer (8) – Ward

Tsonga (13) – Muller

Ymer – Karlovic (23)

 

Fourth Quarter

7-time champion, and last year’s finalist, Roger Federer features in the final quarter, and will play his first match on Tuesday against Damir Dzumhur. Sam Querrey is comfortable on the grass, and could pose a threat to Federer if they were to meet in the second round. A man who has been more than a threat to Federer at Wimbledon is Tomas Berdych, after blasting the Swiss out of the tournament in the 2010 quarter-finals. Berdych faces Frenchman Jeremy Chardy first up, before possibly facing another, in the form of Nicolas Mahut. Both Federer and Berdych look likely to progress to the quarter-finals, but players like Gilles Simon and Feliciano Lopez always have the potential to cause damage on the quicker stuff.

Can Federer win his 8th title at SW19?
Can Federer win his 8th title at SW19?
Lopez is projected as Federer’s 4th round opponent, but I wouldn’t be surprised to see Roberto Bautista-Agut dump him out before then. Simon is much likelier to challenge, and looks to be ready to challenge at SW19 after a recent run to the semi-finals at Queens.

 

Predicted Quarter-Final: Berdych (6) V Federer (2)

Potential surprise runs: Adrian Mannarino, Nicolas Mahut

3 1st round matches to watch:

Berdych (6) – Mahut

Gulbis – Rosol

Paire – Youzhny

 

 

 

Throughout the Championships, I will be visiting SW19 twice once again, and have been lucky enough to get a pair of Court 1 tickets for the second Thursday. Check out my Twitter account for regular updates of Wimbledon, and for photos that I’ve taken from my two trips.

 

Thanks for taking the time to read my analysis of the 2015 Gentlemen’s singles draw at Wimbledon, I hoped you enjoyed it. Agree with what I said? Why not offer your opinion below by commenting!

For any questions or queries on this blog, or other blogs, either contact me on my twitter handle – @Tennis17MAD or via email at – jamesfroud0608@hotmail.co.uk

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